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Joe Bedell, head of Stack Data Strategy in North America, said: “The 2024 election cycle is truly on a knife edge. President Biden is on course to cling on in the White House. But this is by the narrowest of margins: only a percentage point in some states. The Midwest states that took Donald Trump to victory in 2016 are sticking with Biden for now, but it is effectively a toss-up in many of these key battlegrounds.”
A summary of regular polls, compiled by the aggregator 538, shows that the two candidates are almost level in national surveys, with Mr Trump ahead by just 0.4 percentage points on average. A month ago, the former president was ahead by one point.
Mr Biden has shifted his campaign strategy in recent months, focusing on “culture war” issues such as the battle for access to abortion and accusing Mr Trump of undermining the integrity of American democracy.
He is talking less about the economy and his flagship “Bidenomics” policies, which formed the basis of his early campaign.
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